In this paper, we ask what investors in Thames Water – and its holding company Kemble Water – would have learned about the level of risk of their investment and its likely market value had they compared its characteristics to market and peer group data.
IRR Comps: the Quickline Deal
This month, instead of looking at a transaction changing hands through a willing buyer and seller, we are looking at a topic that could be a significant interest for investors in network utilities today: equity injection and, specifically, how the infraMetrics® platform can help you determine the IRR you should expect for such a transaction. Currently, we see that the … Read More
Ebitda Multiple Comps: Perth Airport
We have demonstrated over the last few newsletters how to employ infraMetrics® data to price up already completed deals. This month we’re looking to try something different: price up a possible transaction. This deal hasn’t happened, and we’re not sure if it will, but this is a demonstration of the value of the data available in the infraMetrics® platform. In … Read More
Risk Premia: Good times are over, now it gets harder
This is a grim headline, but with the economic shifts over the last two years, we might be seeing a more difficult market for infrastructure investment. From our perspective, we are observing some interesting shifts in the market. Firstly, despite the evidence that inflation may be cooling in major economies, there is evidence that interest rates might be higher for … Read More
Ebitda Multiple Comps: Angel Trains
In June, Arjun Infrastructure Partners acquired a 10% stake in Angel Trains from Public Sector Pension Investment Board (PSP Investments), a Canadian pension fund. Despite this transaction, PSP Investments will continue to hold the majority ownership of Angel Trains, retaining a 64.25% stake in the company. The financial details of the transaction have not been publicly disclosed. Established in 1994, … Read More
Is Thames Water just a case of bad management?
Can you really lose GBP1.5Bn in a couple of quarters when investing in a water utility? Investments in infrastructure like water utilities are very often presented as ‘boring’, slow-moving, low-risk assets, that also happen to be cash cows. That latter point is true, as my colleagues have shown in previous research. The rest is wishful thinking at best, but mostly … Read More